tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 494 United IAH 09:27 RSW 13:03 13% 3% 0.8% no record
UA 2095 United IAH 18:32 RSW 22:11 19% 5% 1.2% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Myers is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IAH 05:30 → DTW 09:18DL 1389 1h 05m Detroit DTW 10:23 → RSW 13:25DL 1055 6h 55m 98% 89%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:04 → ORD 07:59UA 1044 1h 27m Chicago ORD 09:26 → RSW 13:28UA 1036 7h 24m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → IAH 06:10 → ORD 09:05UA 2616 2h 04m Chicago ORD 11:09 → RSW 15:17UA 2137 8h 07m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:15 → DEN 06:47UA 1874 2h 48m Denver DEN 09:35 → RSW 15:22UA 2601 9h 07m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → IAH 05:40 → ATL 08:50DL 1069 1h 35m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153 5h 31m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → IAH 07:00 → ATL 10:04DL 1315 2h 49m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196 6h 35m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → IAH 06:01 → EWR 10:36UA 1797 1h 21m Newark EWR 11:57 → RSW 15:12UA 1810 8h 11m 97% 82%
DeltaDetails → IAH 09:41 → ATL 12:48DL 1585 2h 11m Atlanta ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379 6h 03m 99% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → IAH 09:48 → EWR 14:27UA 2402 48m Newark EWR 15:15 → RSW 18:28UA 1832 7h 40m 72% 56%
JetBlueDetails → IAH 10:56 → BOS 15:35B6 932 47m Boston BOS 16:22 → RSW 19:53B6 2065 7h 57m 73% 53%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON