Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 8:55 am at Idaho Falls); 1 already left

Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, DL 3765 at 13:01, with a 4% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


DL 3765 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	IDA 13:01	SLC 14:15	4%	4%	0.1%	92%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	IDA 16:14 → DEN 18:05UA 5666 · flown by SkyWest	3h 00m Denver	DEN 21:05 → SLC 22:44UA 5646 · flown by SkyWest	6h 30m	97%	86%
United Details →	IDA 10:35 → DEN 12:28UA 5793 · flown by SkyWest	1h 12m Denver	DEN 13:40 → SLC 15:13UA 1840	4h 38m	93%	79%
United Details →	IDA 14:30 → DEN 16:18UA 2155	3h 05m Denver	DEN 19:23 → SLC 20:56UA 2769	6h 26m	95%	74%
American Details →	IDA 12:18 → DFW 16:12AA 6468 · flown by SkyWest	1h 26m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:38 → SLC 19:37AA 558	7h 19m	91%	67%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON