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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 07:55, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching Burbank on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 3 h behind Indianapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IND 07:55 → SLC 09:26DL 2137 1h 19m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → BUR 11:54DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 6h 59m 97% 92%
SouthwestDetails → IND 07:11 → DEN 07:56WN 2787 1h 14m Denver DEN 09:10 → BUR 10:40WN 4179 6h 29m 98% 90%
UnitedDetails → IND 08:00 → DEN 08:51UA 1607 2h 24m Denver DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154 7h 48m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → IND 05:55 → ATL 07:30DL 3105 3h 49m Atlanta ATL 11:19 → BUR 12:55DL 483 10h 00m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → IND 15:34 → DEN 16:23UA 377 3h 05m Denver DEN 19:28 → BUR 20:58UA 2411 8h 24m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → IND 06:01 → DFW 07:35AA 2782 2h 29m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:04 → BUR 11:27AA 1208 8h 26m 98% 81%
UnitedDetails → IND 07:43 → SFO 09:25UA 500 58m San Francisco SFO 10:23 → BUR 11:49UA 2115 7h 06m 85% 72%
AlaskaDetails → IND 07:04 → SEA 08:52AS 625 1h 20m Seattle SEA 10:12 → BUR 12:44AS 1395 8h 40m 91% 58%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON