Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 2524 at 13:23, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 2524 Southwest	IND 13:23	DAL 14:29	7%	2%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Indianapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	IND 10:07 → ATL 11:43DL 3125	2h 16m Atlanta	ATL 13:59 → DAL 15:03DL 512	5h 56m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	IND 11:38 → ATL 13:17DL 2952	3h 27m Atlanta	ATL 16:44 → DAL 17:54DL 2780	7h 16m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	IND 18:25 → ATL 20:04DL 2979	1h 11m Atlanta	ATL 21:15 → DAL 22:25DL 1104	5h 00m	95%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON