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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:55, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IND 05:55 → ATL 07:30DL 3105 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 7h 25m 100% 90%
AmericanDetails → IND 06:42 → CLT 08:25AA 2938 2h 21m Charlotte CLT 10:46 → FLL 13:10AA 2585 6h 28m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → IND 06:55 → ATL 08:36DL 3106 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 7h 32m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → IND 05:35 → IAD 07:19UA 3997 · flown by Mesa 1h 01m Dulles IAD 08:20 → FLL 11:07UA 1825 5h 32m 97% 89%
UnitedDetails → IND 07:05 → EWR 09:11UA 3567 · flown by Republic 2h 42m Newark EWR 11:53 → FLL 15:13UA 2759 8h 08m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → IND 07:00 → MSP 07:49DL 2757 1h 01m Minneapolis MSP 08:50 → FLL 13:25DL 673 6h 25m 96% 89%
DeltaDetails → IND 06:09 → LGA 08:30DL 5737 · flown by Republic 2h 25m New York LGA 10:55 → FLL 13:54DL 1181 7h 45m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → IND 07:12 → ORD 07:36UA 3483 · flown by Republic 3h 23m Chicago ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279 8h 01m 100% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON