tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: WN 1014 at 06:32 is the safest bet, 4% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 16%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1014 Southwest IND 06:32 RSW 09:02 4% 1% 0.8% no record
WN 3262 Southwest IND 15:19 RSW 17:52 16% 5% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → IND 05:35 → IAD 07:19UA 3997 · flown by Mesa 56m Dulles IAD 08:15 → RSW 10:53UA 1406 5h 18m 97% 90%
UnitedDetails → IND 06:00 → ORD 06:20UA 3479 · flown by Republic 2h 49m Chicago ORD 09:09 → RSW 13:10UA 1036 7h 10m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → IND 07:07 → ORD 07:31UA 3483 · flown by Republic 3h 29m Chicago ORD 11:00 → RSW 14:51UA 2137 7h 44m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → IND 05:44 → PHL 07:52AA 4613 · flown by Republic 1h 37m Philadelphia PHL 09:29 → RSW 12:20AA 2365 6h 36m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → IND 07:00 → MSP 07:49DL 2757 1h 16m Minneapolis MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400 6h 27m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → IND 07:05 → EWR 09:11UA 3567 · flown by Republic 2h 44m Newark EWR 11:55 → RSW 15:04UA 1810 7h 59m 100% 86%
AmericanDetails → IND 06:42 → CLT 08:25AA 2938 3h 43m Charlotte CLT 12:08 → RSW 14:15AA 2018 7h 33m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → IND 08:05 → ATL 09:41DL 1901 3h 12m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196 6h 30m 99% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON