tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2191 Southwest IND 05:39 TPA 08:06 2% 1% 0.7% no record
WN 2939 Southwest IND 05:47 TPA 08:02 2% 1% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Tampa on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → IND 06:00 → ORD 06:20UA 3479 · flown by Republic 1h 11m Chicago ORD 07:31 → TPA 11:24UA 2326 5h 24m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → IND 05:55 → ATL 07:30DL 3105 1h 08m Atlanta ATL 08:38 → TPA 10:07DL 1227 4h 12m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → IND 07:00 → MSP 07:49DL 2757 2h 05m Minneapolis MSP 09:54 → TPA 14:16DL 2264 7h 16m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → IND 16:25 → MSP 17:12DL 2910 3h 03m Minneapolis MSP 20:15 → TPA 00:15 +1DL 2385 7h 50m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → IND 05:43 → PHL 07:50AA 4613 · flown by Republic 1h 10m Philadelphia PHL 09:00 → TPA 12:04AA 1981 6h 21m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → IND 06:41 → ORD 07:04AA 4557 · flown by Republic 2h 01m Chicago ORD 09:05 → TPA 12:56AA 2920 6h 15m 100% 87%
AmericanDetails → IND 06:42 → CLT 08:25AA 2938 1h 53m Charlotte CLT 10:18 → TPA 12:13AA 1974 5h 31m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → IND 06:00 → DCA 07:50AA 4626 · flown by Republic 2h 37m Washington DCA 10:27 → TPA 13:07AA 1694 7h 07m 100% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON