Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 317 at 08:35, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 317 Delta Flight history →	JAC 08:35	ATL 14:15	11%	4%	0.6%	78%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 2 h ahead of Jackson). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	JAC 07:40 → SLC 08:50DL 4022 · flown by SkyWest	2h 15m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:05 → ATL 16:49DL 885	7h 09m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	JAC 13:15 → SLC 14:22DL 2282	3h 33m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:55 → ATL 23:58DL 905	8h 43m	98%	88%
United Details →	JAC 07:00 → DEN 08:40UA 1978	1h 44m Denver	DEN 10:24 → ATL 15:35UA 2806	6h 35m	98%	87%
United Details →	JAC 07:30 → ORD 11:40UA 2032	2h 15m Chicago	ORD 13:55 → ATL 17:10UA 356	7h 40m	96%	85%
United Details →	JAC 13:42 → DEN 15:18UA 1717	2h 30m Denver	DEN 17:48 → ATL 22:57UA 1305	7h 15m	97%	82%
American Details →	JAC 11:38 → DFW 15:23AA 3052	2h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:26 → ATL 20:46AA 3212	7h 08m	97%	74%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON