Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: United via Denver, leaving 13:42, is the safest bet: 74% chance of reaching Charlotte on time.

Nonstops that day


AA 1049 American Flight history →	JAC 10:53	CLT 16:39	14%	5%	0.6%	71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 2 h ahead of Jackson). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	JAC 08:35 → ATL 14:15DL 317	3h 45m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → CLT 19:21DL 3158	8h 46m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	JAC 07:40 → SLC 08:50DL 4022 · flown by SkyWest	2h 05m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:55 → CLT 16:52DL 2070	7h 12m	98%	86%
United Details →	JAC 07:00 → DEN 08:40UA 1978	1h 20m Denver	DEN 10:00 → CLT 15:31UA 2231	6h 31m	93%	84%
United Details →	JAC 10:41 → DEN 12:17UA 5543 · flown by SkyWest	3h 51m Denver	DEN 16:08 → CLT 21:21UA 616	8h 40m	100%	83%
American Details →	JAC 18:12 → LAX 19:38AA 6471 · flown by SkyWest	1h 54m Los Angeles	LAX 21:32 → CLT 05:16 +1AA 3035	9h 04m	97%	81%
American Details →	JAC 11:40 → DFW 15:25AA 3052	2h 29m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:54 → CLT 21:44AA 1703	8h 04m	96%	74%
American Details →	JAC 13:06 → DFW 16:58AA 1923	3h 15m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 20:13 → CLT 23:48AA 460	8h 42m	97%	72%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON