Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 3179 American	JAC 12:48	DFW 16:36	10%	7%	0.6%	no record
AA 3052 American Flight history →	JAC 11:38	DFW 15:23	11%	6%	0.6%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h ahead of Jackson). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	JAC 07:40 → SLC 08:50DL 4022 · flown by SkyWest	1h 00m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:50 → DFW 13:30DL 2800	4h 50m	95%	87%
United Details →	JAC 13:42 → DEN 15:18UA 1717	3h 35m Denver	DEN 18:53 → DFW 21:59UA 1565	7h 17m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	JAC 13:15 → SLC 14:22DL 2282	3h 18m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:40 → DFW 21:23DL 2796	7h 08m	98%	85%
United Details →	JAC 10:34 → DEN 12:09UA 5543 · flown by SkyWest	1h 36m Denver	DEN 13:45 → DFW 16:51UA 578	5h 17m	98%	85%
United Details →	JAC 07:30 → ORD 11:40UA 2032	1h 25m Chicago	ORD 13:05 → DFW 15:48UA 2290	7h 18m	94%	84%
American Details →	JAC 13:41 → LAX 15:08AA 6471 · flown by SkyWest	3h 24m Los Angeles	LAX 18:32 → DFW 23:43AA 1504	9h 02m	99%	82%
United Details →	JAC 07:00 → DEN 08:40UA 1978	52m Denver	DEN 09:32 → DFW 12:32UA 1350	4h 32m	90%	81%
American Details →	JAC 10:51 → CLT 16:37AA 1049	1h 46m Charlotte	CLT 18:23 → DFW 20:01AA 2815	8h 10m	94%	74%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON