tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 4:57 am at Jackson)
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: United via Denver, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Houston on time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h ahead of Jackson). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → JAC 07:00 → DEN 08:40UA 1978 2h 54m Denver DEN 11:34 → IAH 15:09UA 1599 7h 09m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → JAC 10:41 → DEN 12:17UA 5543 · flown by SkyWest 3h 18m Denver DEN 15:35 → IAH 19:10UA 489 7h 29m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → JAC 08:02 → ORD 12:07UA 2032 2h 24m Chicago ORD 14:31 → IAH 17:31UA 2062 8h 29m 94% 84%
DeltaDetails → JAC 13:15 → SLC 14:22DL 2282 3h 23m Salt Lake City SLC 17:45 → IAH 21:50DL 2514 7h 35m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → JAC 14:44 → DEN 16:21UA 2791 3h 14m Denver DEN 19:35 → IAH 23:06UA 475 7h 22m 96% 78%
UnitedDetails → JAC 13:42 → DEN 15:18UA 1717 1h 59m Denver DEN 17:17 → IAH 20:43UA 1587 6h 01m 95% 77%
DeltaDetails → JAC 08:35 → ATL 14:15DL 317 1h 54m Atlanta ATL 16:09 → IAH 17:22DL 1131 7h 47m 98% 73%
AmericanDetails → JAC 11:40 → DFW 15:25AA 3052 3h 46m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:11 → IAH 20:24AA 1392 7h 44m 100% 70%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON