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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 07:40, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Minneapolis on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Jackson). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → JAC 07:40 → SLC 08:50DL 4022 · flown by SkyWest 2h 20m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924 6h 00m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → JAC 13:15 → SLC 14:22DL 2282 2h 59m Salt Lake City SLC 17:21 → MSP 20:54DL 2935 6h 39m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → JAC 10:40 → DEN 12:16UA 5543 · flown by SkyWest 1h 26m Denver DEN 13:42 → MSP 16:46UA 732 5h 06m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → JAC 07:00 → DEN 08:40UA 1978 1h 00m Denver DEN 09:40 → MSP 12:40UA 397 4h 40m 94% 83%
UnitedDetails → JAC 13:42 → DEN 15:18UA 1717 2h 47m Denver DEN 18:05 → MSP 21:10UA 2076 6h 28m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → JAC 07:30 → ORD 11:40UA 2032 2h 50m Chicago ORD 14:30 → MSP 16:13UA 2298 7h 43m 97% 81%
AmericanDetails → JAC 11:38 → DFW 15:23AA 3052 3h 28m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:51 → MSP 21:21AA 2806 8h 43m 99% 78%
AmericanDetails → JAC 10:51 → CLT 16:37AA 1049 2h 47m Charlotte CLT 19:24 → MSP 21:00AA 2176 9h 09m 98% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON