Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, B6 675 at 22:39, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 675 JetBlue Flight history →	JFK 22:39	BDL 23:59	19%	7%	0.7%	64%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hartford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	JFK 06:00 → ATL 08:29DL 2286	1h 53m Atlanta	ATL 10:22 → BDL 12:45DL 1082	6h 45m	97%	89%
Delta Details →	JFK 07:07 → DTW 08:59DL 5080 · flown by Endeavor	1h 31m Detroit	DTW 10:30 → BDL 12:13DL 2163	5h 06m	96%	88%
Delta Details →	JFK 08:40 → ATL 11:23DL 2227	2h 33m Atlanta	ATL 13:56 → BDL 16:16DL 2739	7h 36m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	JFK 16:30 → DTW 18:55DL 2443	2h 35m Detroit	DTW 21:30 → BDL 23:14DL 2989	6h 44m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	JFK 11:00 → ATL 13:33DL 1029	2h 01m Atlanta	ATL 15:34 → BDL 17:59DL 2735	6h 59m	97%	85%
Delta Details →	JFK 13:10 → ATL 15:45DL 2342	3h 11m Atlanta	ATL 18:56 → BDL 21:19DL 2504	8h 09m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	JFK 15:41 → ATL 18:34DL 1480	2h 57m Atlanta	ATL 21:31 → BDL 23:54DL 1011	8h 13m	98%	84%
American Details →	JFK 06:30 → DCA 07:57AA 4671 · flown by Republic	2h 07m Washington	DCA 10:04 → BDL 11:29AA 5508 · flown by PSA	4h 59m	99%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON