tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: DL 2320 at 08:10 is the safest bet, 11% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 25%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 2320 Delta Flight history → JFK 08:10 RSW 11:27 11% 3% 2.2% 89%
B6 2129 JetBlue Flight history → JFK 11:32 RSW 14:45 25% 6% 1.9% 65%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → JFK 07:07 → DTW 08:57DL 5080 · flown by Endeavor 1h 27m Detroit DTW 10:24 → RSW 13:24DL 1055 6h 17m 96% 86%
AmericanDetails → JFK 05:59 → CLT 07:57AA 2643 2h 19m Charlotte CLT 10:16 → RSW 12:23AA 1781 6h 24m 98% 84%
AmericanDetails → JFK 07:59 → CLT 10:07AA 1444 2h 16m Charlotte CLT 12:23 → RSW 14:30AA 2018 6h 31m 97% 82%
DeltaDetails → JFK 07:15 → MSP 09:25DL 2390 3h 58m Minneapolis MSP 13:23 → RSW 17:53DL 2219 10h 38m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → JFK 06:00 → ATL 08:29DL 2286 1h 56m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153 6h 11m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → JFK 08:40 → ATL 11:23DL 2227 3h 36m Atlanta ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379 8h 04m 99% 81%
JetBlueDetails → JFK 06:30 → BUF 07:52B6 1602 3h 15m Buffalo BUF 11:07 → RSW 14:05B6 2049 7h 35m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → JFK 11:00 → ATL 13:33DL 1029 3h 34m Atlanta ATL 17:07 → RSW 18:55DL 1124 7h 55m 99% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON