Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, AS 69 at 20:27, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


AS 69 Alaska Flight history →	KTN 20:27	JNU 21:25	11%	2%	2.1%	86%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Juneau on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	KTN 08:56 → SEA 11:54AS 60	1h 49m Seattle	SEA 13:43 → JNU 15:17AS 435	6h 21m	94%	68%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	KTN 17:39 → SIT 18:32AS 67	58m Sitka	SIT 19:30 → JNU 20:12AS 67	2h 33m	73%	50%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON