Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 3 nonstops

Tue, Oct 6: B6 658 at 07:00 is the safest bet, 10% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 17–22%.

Safest bet that day B6 658 LAS 07:00 → FLL 14:56 · 10% chance 15+ min late · usually 86% on time Riskiest B6 708 LAS 11:35 → FLL 19:28 · 22% chance 15+ min late

Against a calm day 16% average chance a nonstop arrives 15+ min late; 12% for the same flights on a calm-weather day

Every nonstop on Tue, Oct 6

12-month record →

Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late, with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.


B6 658 JetBlue Flight history →	LAS 07:00	FLL 14:56	10%	3%	0.8%	86%
B6 608 JetBlue Flight history →	LAS 22:35	FLL 06:29	17%	6%	1.3%	71%
B6 708 JetBlue	LAS 11:35	FLL 19:28	22%	6%	0.9%	no record

Alternatives with one stop that day

All connections →


Delta Details →	LAS 07:05 → ATL 14:05DL 677	1h 20m Atlanta	ATL 15:25 → FLL 17:23DL 2345	7h 18m	95%	79%
American Details →	LAS 06:03 → DFW 10:48AA 2932	52m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:40 → FLL 15:23AA 3220	6h 20m	93%	78%
Delta Details →	LAS 08:26 → ATL 15:25DL 927	1h 14m Atlanta	ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295	7h 14m	94%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON