tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 452 Southwest LAS 09:34 GEG 11:56 9% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 3320 Southwest LAS 19:54 GEG 22:14 13% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAS 06:00 → SLC 08:19DL 2674 3h 11m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452 6h 12m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → LAS 05:30 → DEN 08:32UA 596 2h 43m Denver DEN 11:15 → GEG 12:35UA 295 7h 05m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → LAS 13:31 → SEA 16:16DL 2905 3h 41m Seattle SEA 19:57 → GEG 21:13DL 3677 · flown by SkyWest 7h 42m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → LAS 17:00 → SLC 19:25DL 1672 3h 50m Salt Lake City SLC 23:15 → GEG 23:55DL 1466 6h 55m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → LAS 10:00 → SLC 12:29DL 1698 2h 56m Salt Lake City SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503 6h 08m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → LAS 15:38 → MSP 19:35DL 2238 2h 24m Minneapolis MSP 21:59 → GEG 23:06DL 2418 7h 28m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → LAS 11:09 → SEA 14:00DL 2922 3h 59m Seattle SEA 17:59 → GEG 19:15DL 3832 · flown by SkyWest 8h 06m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → LAS 06:19 → MSP 11:22DL 1282 57m Minneapolis MSP 12:19 → GEG 13:21DL 2437 7h 02m 93% 85%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → LAS 13:18 → DFW 18:02AA 2797 50m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:52 → GEG 20:34AA 2757 7h 16m 74% 55%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON