tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 27–28% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2306 Southwest LAS 13:43 ICT 18:09 27% 4% 0.4% no record
WN 4505 Southwest LAS 14:24 ICT 18:52 28% 5% 0.4% no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Wichita on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Wichita is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → LAS 05:30 → DEN 08:32UA 596 1h 23m Denver DEN 09:55 → ICT 12:27UA 5497 · flown by SkyWest 4h 57m 98% 88%
AmericanDetails → LAS 14:02 → DFW 19:03AA 777 3h 36m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:39 → ICT 00:09 +1AA 3691 · flown by Envoy 8h 07m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → LAS 07:05 → ATL 14:05DL 677 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 16:43 → ICT 18:02DL 1418 8h 57m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → LAS 06:19 → MSP 11:22DL 1282 2h 07m Minneapolis MSP 13:29 → ICT 15:39DL 3807 · flown by SkyWest 7h 20m 97% 86%
DeltaDetails → LAS 12:28 → ATL 19:28DL 748 1h 58m Atlanta ATL 21:26 → ICT 22:46DL 2959 8h 18m 96% 84%
UnitedDetails → LAS 16:25 → DEN 19:30UA 2108 1h 35m Denver DEN 21:05 → ICT 23:40UA 4755 · flown by SkyWest 5h 15m 91% 83%
UnitedDetails → LAS 09:37 → DEN 12:41UA 1315 1h 18m Denver DEN 13:59 → ICT 16:34UA 5454 · flown by SkyWest 4h 57m 92% 83%
UnitedDetails → LAS 11:43 → DEN 14:40UA 1006 3h 01m Denver DEN 17:41 → ICT 20:15UA 1788 6h 32m 98% 82%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → LAS 14:25 → ORD 20:23UA 706 1h 00m Chicago ORD 21:23 → ICT 23:21UA 424 6h 56m 73% 57%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON