tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3720 Southwest LAS 08:02 LIT 12:53 12% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 2325 Southwest LAS 12:36 LIT 17:37 20% 4% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Little Rock on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Little Rock is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → LAS 00:09 → DFW 04:53AA 3018 2h 14m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:07 → LIT 08:27AA 3850 · flown by Envoy 6h 18m 97% 90%
AmericanDetails → LAS 09:14 → DFW 13:58AA 2797 1h 46m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:44 → LIT 17:04AA 4309 · flown by Envoy 5h 50m 100% 89%
AmericanDetails → LAS 05:50 → DFW 10:33AA 2932 1h 08m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:41 → LIT 13:02AA 3898 · flown by Envoy 5h 12m 96% 88%
DeltaDetails → LAS 06:00 → ATL 13:00DL 755 1h 40m Atlanta ATL 14:40 → LIT 15:12DL 3027 7h 12m 96% 88%
DeltaDetails → LAS 11:41 → ATL 18:47DL 748 3h 53m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → LIT 23:14DL 2083 9h 33m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → LAS 07:05 → ATL 14:05DL 677 3h 40m Atlanta ATL 17:45 → LIT 18:23DL 2061 9h 18m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → LAS 08:26 → ATL 15:25DL 927 1h 55m Atlanta ATL 17:20 → LIT 17:55DL 3025 7h 29m 97% 85%
UnitedDetails → LAS 05:30 → DEN 08:32UA 596 1h 03m Denver DEN 09:35 → LIT 12:54UA 5369 · flown by SkyWest 5h 24m 95% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON