tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 1571 at 16:00, with a 23% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 1571 Southwest LAS 16:00 PSP 17:00 23% 4% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAS 06:00 → SLC 08:19DL 2674 2h 26m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → PSP 11:41DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest 5h 41m 99% 95%
DeltaDetails → LAS 10:00 → SLC 12:29DL 1698 3h 11m Salt Lake City SLC 15:40 → PSP 16:33DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest 6h 33m 99% 94%
UnitedDetails → LAS 05:30 → DEN 08:32UA 596 2h 40m Denver DEN 11:12 → PSP 12:36UA 687 7h 06m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → LAS 14:15 → LAX 15:35UA 2184 3h 21m Los Angeles LAX 18:56 → PSP 20:10UA 5345 · flown by SkyWest 5h 55m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → LAS 06:03 → DFW 10:48AA 2932 2h 11m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:59 → PSP 14:19AA 2548 8h 16m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → LAS 13:34 → SFO 15:16UA 1799 3h 22m San Francisco SFO 18:38 → PSP 20:26UA 5705 · flown by SkyWest 6h 52m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → LAS 12:15 → PHX 13:38AA 2109 3h 23m Phoenix PHX 17:01 → PSP 18:21AA 4922 · flown by SkyWest 6h 06m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → LAS 13:36 → DEN 16:40UA 1323 2h 47m Denver DEN 19:27 → PSP 20:59UA 2644 7h 23m 98% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON