tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2322 Southwest LAS 09:25 TUL 13:55 8% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 2323 Southwest LAS 16:21 TUL 20:48 15% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Tulsa on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → LAS 00:00 → DFW 04:37AA 3018 2h 33m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:10 → TUL 08:35AA 4063 · flown by Envoy 6h 35m 100% 93%
UnitedDetails → LAS 05:30 → DEN 08:32UA 596 1h 32m Denver DEN 10:04 → TUL 12:59UA 5315 · flown by SkyWest 5h 29m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → LAS 00:11 → ORD 05:48AA 3077 2h 35m Chicago ORD 08:23 → TUL 10:04AA 4155 · flown by Envoy 7h 53m 99% 90%
SouthwestDetails → LAS 06:33 → HOU 11:35WN 138 3h 33m Houston HOU 15:08 → TUL 16:43WN 2029 8h 10m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → LAS 10:25 → IAH 15:40UA 1711 50m Houston IAH 16:30 → TUL 18:08UA 6171 · flown by Mesa 5h 43m 87% 87%
DeltaDetails → LAS 07:05 → ATL 14:05DL 677 2h 56m Atlanta ATL 17:01 → TUL 18:04DL 2837 8h 59m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → LAS 13:04 → ATL 20:02DL 748 2h 16m Atlanta ATL 22:18 → TUL 23:19DL 2043 8h 15m 97% 84%
UnitedDetails → LAS 16:25 → DEN 19:30UA 2108 1h 25m Denver DEN 20:55 → TUL 23:47UA 4712 · flown by SkyWest 5h 22m 92% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → LAS 09:04 → SEA 11:05AS 701 47m Seattle SEA 11:52 → TUL 17:32AS 2217 · flown by Horizon 6h 28m 8% 6%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON