Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 458 at 22:45, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 458 Delta Flight history →	LAX 22:45	CVG 05:59	9%	2%	0.7%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	LAX 00:00 → BOS 08:33AA 2453	3h 22m Boston	BOS 11:55 → CVG 14:30AA 4760 · flown by Republic	11h 30m	99%	94%
Delta Details →	LAX 00:01 → MSP 05:20DL 430	1h 54m Minneapolis	MSP 07:14 → CVG 10:03DL 954	7h 02m	99%	92%
American Details →	LAX 00:07 → DFW 05:19AA 2490	2h 19m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 07:38 → CVG 11:10AA 2610	8h 03m	100%	92%
Delta Details →	LAX 06:40 → BOS 15:15DL 639	1h 45m Boston	BOS 17:00 → CVG 19:40DL 5620 · flown by Republic	10h 00m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	LAX 11:15 → MSP 16:50DL 413	3h 30m Minneapolis	MSP 20:20 → CVG 23:11DL 1469	8h 56m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	LAX 19:55 → LAS 21:04DL 2202	1h 51m Las Vegas	LAS 22:55 → CVG 05:42 +1DL 2794	6h 47m	97%	90%
Delta Details →	LAX 06:00 → ATL 13:35DL 390	1h 40m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008	7h 41m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	LAX 05:35 → SLC 08:30DL 2906	1h 10m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:40 → CVG 15:03DL 2273	6h 28m	97%	90%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON