Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 3576 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	LAX 22:46	GEG 01:37	10%	3%	0.5%	86%
DL 3794 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	LAX 13:00	GEG 15:35	11%	5%	0.5%	94%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LAX 05:35 → SLC 08:30DL 2906	3h 00m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	6h 37m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	LAX 17:05 → SLC 19:58DL 2311	3h 17m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → GEG 23:55DL 1466	6h 50m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	LAX 14:00 → SEA 16:40DL 2606	3h 17m Seattle	SEA 19:57 → GEG 21:13DL 3677 · flown by SkyWest	7h 13m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	LAX 09:55 → SLC 12:45DL 1434	2h 40m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503	6h 13m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	LAX 12:09 → SEA 14:55DL 1045	3h 04m Seattle	SEA 17:59 → GEG 19:15DL 3832 · flown by SkyWest	7h 06m	98%	83%
United Details →	LAX 12:46 → DEN 16:16UA 360	3h 24m Denver	DEN 19:40 → GEG 21:05UA 778	8h 19m	99%	82%
Alaska Details →	LAX 07:00 → PDX 09:21AS 668	1h 09m Portland	PDX 10:30 → GEG 11:45AS 250	4h 45m	94%	81%
Delta Details →	LAX 15:22 → MSP 20:59DL 2198	1h 00m Minneapolis	MSP 21:59 → GEG 23:06DL 2418	7h 44m	90%	79%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	LAX 10:00 → SEA 12:48AS 798	47m Seattle	SEA 13:35 → GEG 14:38AS 2349 · flown by Horizon	4h 38m	51%	34%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON