tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, OO 3449 at 11:37, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
OO 3449 SkyWest LAX 11:37 MFR 13:48 13% 5% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Medford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAX 17:05 → SLC 19:58DL 2311 3h 01m Salt Lake City SLC 22:59 → MFR 23:54DL 3722 · flown by SkyWest 6h 49m 99% 94%
DeltaDetails → LAX 05:35 → SLC 08:30DL 2906 2h 15m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → MFR 11:40DL 3806 · flown by SkyWest 6h 05m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → LAX 09:45 → SEA 12:30DL 1714 2h 40m Seattle SEA 15:10 → MFR 16:44DL 3770 · flown by SkyWest 6h 59m 97% 86%
AlaskaDetails → LAX 17:00 → SEA 19:52AS 698 2h 49m Seattle SEA 22:41 → MFR 00:00 +1AS 2461 · flown by Horizon 7h 00m 100% 81%
UnitedDetails → LAX 11:47 → SFO 13:23UA 1245 3h 27m San Francisco SFO 16:50 → MFR 18:15UA 1001 6h 28m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → LAX 17:45 → SEA 20:27DL 2640 1h 08m Seattle SEA 21:35 → MFR 23:11DL 3954 · flown by SkyWest 5h 26m 89% 79%
UnitedDetails → LAX 12:46 → DEN 16:16UA 360 3h 14m Denver DEN 19:30 → MFR 21:16UA 663 8h 30m 99% 79%
UnitedDetails → LAX 07:30 → SFO 09:06UA 1372 1h 31m San Francisco SFO 10:37 → MFR 12:04UA 2322 4h 34m 96% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON