Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 05:35, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching Omaha on time.

Nonstops that day


AA 6506 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	LAX 08:56	OMA 14:30	8%	3%	0.5%	91%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LAX 00:01 → MSP 05:20DL 430	3h 30m Minneapolis	MSP 08:50 → OMA 10:12DL 3831 · flown by SkyWest	8h 11m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	LAX 07:15 → SLC 10:10DL 1318	3h 20m Salt Lake City	SLC 13:30 → OMA 16:51DL 3896 · flown by SkyWest	7h 36m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	LAX 17:05 → SLC 19:58DL 2311	1h 58m Salt Lake City	SLC 21:56 → OMA 01:16 +1DL 3706 · flown by SkyWest	6h 11m	97%	92%
Delta Details →	LAX 05:35 → SLC 08:30DL 2906	1h 05m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:35 → OMA 12:56DL 4114 · flown by SkyWest	5h 21m	97%	92%
Delta Details →	LAX 12:35 → MSP 18:11DL 914	3h 19m Minneapolis	MSP 21:30 → OMA 22:48DL 4014 · flown by SkyWest	8h 13m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	LAX 05:30 → DTW 12:56DL 2399	3h 04m Detroit	DTW 16:00 → OMA 17:10DL 3889 · flown by SkyWest	9h 40m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	LAX 09:45 → DTW 17:08DL 494	2h 37m Detroit	DTW 19:45 → OMA 20:53DL 3715 · flown by SkyWest	9h 08m	99%	90%
American Details →	LAX 00:07 → DFW 05:19AA 2490	1h 57m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 07:16 → OMA 09:24AA 2135	7h 17m	100%	89%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON