tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Minneapolis, leaving 00:01, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching Pittsburgh on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 2039 United Flight history → LAX 09:00 PIT 16:51 9% 3% 0.5% 92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAX 00:01 → MSP 05:24DL 430 2h 05m Minneapolis MSP 07:29 → PIT 10:33DL 845 7h 32m 99% 94%
AmericanDetails → LAX 06:00 → JFK 14:37AA 118 2h 01m New York JFK 16:38 → PIT 18:20AA 4734 · flown by Republic 9h 20m 98% 93%
UnitedDetails → LAX 10:39 → IAD 18:48UA 2667 3h 42m Dulles IAD 22:30 → PIT 23:36UA 3540 · flown by Republic 9h 57m 99% 93%
AmericanDetails → LAX 11:31 → ORD 17:44AA 2891 3h 09m Chicago ORD 20:53 → PIT 23:33AA 4527 · flown by Republic 9h 02m 100% 93%
UnitedDetails → LAX 05:10 → ORD 11:27UA 580 1h 13m Chicago ORD 12:40 → PIT 15:23UA 3432 · flown by Republic 7h 13m 97% 91%
AmericanDetails → LAX 00:00 → DFW 05:09AA 2490 2h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:09 → PIT 11:03AA 1583 8h 03m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → LAX 11:15 → MSP 16:50DL 413 2h 56m Minneapolis MSP 19:46 → PIT 22:51DL 1134 8h 36m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → LAX 05:35 → SLC 08:30DL 2906 2h 15m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → PIT 16:30DL 1188 7h 55m 99% 91%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON