Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, AS 3303 at 19:45, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AS 3303 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history →	LAX 19:45	PSC 22:17	8%	5%	0.5%	87%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pasco on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LAX 05:35 → SLC 08:30DL 2906	3h 54m Salt Lake City	SLC 12:24 → PSC 13:09DL 3892 · flown by SkyWest	7h 34m	99%	94%
Delta Details →	LAX 09:55 → SLC 12:45DL 1434	3h 07m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:52 → PSC 16:38DL 3728 · flown by SkyWest	6h 43m	98%	92%
Delta Details →	LAX 17:05 → SLC 19:58DL 2311	3h 17m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → PSC 23:54DL 1712	6h 49m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	LAX 17:45 → SEA 20:27DL 2640	2h 18m Seattle	SEA 22:45 → PSC 23:53DL 4017 · flown by SkyWest	6h 08m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	LAX 11:15 → MSP 16:50DL 413	1h 35m Minneapolis	MSP 18:25 → PSC 19:45DL 762	8h 30m	96%	80%
United Details →	LAX 12:46 → DEN 16:16UA 360	2h 59m Denver	DEN 19:15 → PSC 20:52UA 1737	8h 06m	98%	78%
American Details →	LAX 13:10 → PHX 14:40AA 1994	2h 23m Phoenix	PHX 17:03 → PSC 19:31AA 5006 · flown by SkyWest	6h 21m	89%	77%
Delta Details →	LAX 07:15 → SEA 10:00DL 2980	3h 40m Seattle	SEA 13:40 → PSC 14:54DL 3891 · flown by SkyWest	7h 39m	97%	71%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON