tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5268 Delta flown by Endeavor Flight history → LGA 10:34 ALB 11:38 9% 2% 0.7% 84%
DL 5493 Delta flown by Endeavor Flight history → LGA 22:01 ALB 23:04 12% 3% 0.8% 65%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LGA 09:25 → DTW 11:24DL 1078 3h 23m Detroit DTW 14:47 → ALB 16:32DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest 7h 07m 100% 91%
AmericanDetails → LGA 07:23 → ORD 09:09AA 392 3h 29m Chicago ORD 12:38 → ALB 15:39AA 4256 · flown by Envoy 8h 16m 100% 90%
AmericanDetails → LGA 06:00 → CLT 07:58AA 3084 2h 55m Charlotte CLT 10:53 → ALB 13:03AA 710 7h 03m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:05 → DTW 07:55DL 1231 2h 46m Detroit DTW 10:41 → ALB 12:27DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest 6h 22m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → LGA 09:00 → ATL 11:32DL 992 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 15:07 → ALB 17:30DL 1241 8h 30m 99% 86%
AmericanDetails → LGA 09:49 → CLT 11:45AA 2036 2h 30m Charlotte CLT 14:15 → ALB 16:31AA 1075 6h 42m 98% 84%
AmericanDetails → LGA 09:28 → CLT 11:24AA 2927 2h 25m Charlotte CLT 13:49 → ALB 16:01AA 440 6h 33m 95% 83%
DeltaDetails → LGA 16:00 → ATL 19:07DL 969 2h 31m Atlanta ATL 21:38 → ALB 23:59DL 2584 7h 59m 98% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON