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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5496 Delta flown by Endeavor Flight history → LGA 13:29 HSV 14:55 13% 3% 0.8% 58%
DL 5040 Delta flown by Endeavor Flight history → LGA 19:57 HSV 21:18 16% 4% 0.8% 62%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Huntsville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Huntsville is 1 h behind New York). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → LGA 06:59 → ATL 09:20DL 342 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 11:55 → HSV 11:57DL 2182 5h 58m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → LGA 09:00 → ATL 11:32DL 992 3h 57m Atlanta ATL 15:29 → HSV 15:29DL 3026 7h 29m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → LGA 09:25 → DTW 11:24DL 1078 2h 16m Detroit DTW 13:40 → HSV 14:32DL 5021 · flown by Endeavor 6h 07m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → LGA 14:29 → DTW 16:34DL 308 3h 31m Detroit DTW 20:05 → HSV 20:51DL 5386 · flown by Endeavor 7h 22m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → LGA 13:00 → ATL 15:32DL 994 3h 28m Atlanta ATL 19:00 → HSV 19:00DL 3171 7h 00m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → LGA 16:00 → ATL 19:07DL 969 3h 53m Atlanta ATL 23:00 → HSV 23:01DL 3022 8h 01m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → LGA 09:49 → CLT 11:45AA 2036 2h 45m Charlotte CLT 14:30 → HSV 14:57AA 6006 · flown by Piedmont 6h 08m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → LGA 15:00 → ATL 18:02DL 974 2h 34m Atlanta ATL 20:36 → HSV 20:38DL 3065 6h 38m 97% 85%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → LGA 18:10 → DFW 20:42AA 1043 48m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:30 → HSV 23:26AA 4278 · flown by Envoy 6h 16m 73% 63%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON