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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Myrtle Beach on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182 7h 00m 100% 91%
SouthwestDetails → LGA 11:26 → MDW 12:35WN 487 2h 01m Chicago MDW 14:36 → MYR 17:38WN 1460 6h 12m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → LGA 06:00 → CLT 07:58AA 3084 2h 19m Charlotte CLT 10:17 → MYR 11:19AA 2431 5h 19m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → LGA 16:00 → ATL 19:07DL 969 3h 33m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → MYR 23:55DL 3074 7h 55m 99% 86%
AmericanDetails → LGA 13:49 → DCA 15:16AA 4773 · flown by Republic 1h 50m Washington DCA 17:06 → MYR 18:51AA 5266 · flown by PSA 5h 02m 95% 86%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:05 → DTW 07:55DL 1231 50m Detroit DTW 08:45 → MYR 10:39DL 1145 4h 34m 92% 85%
DeltaDetails → LGA 13:00 → ATL 15:32DL 994 2h 16m Atlanta ATL 17:48 → MYR 19:07DL 1093 6h 07m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → LGA 14:31 → CLT 16:53AA 2033 3h 36m Charlotte CLT 20:29 → MYR 21:41AA 1085 7h 10m 98% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON