tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: DL 379 at 07:15 is the safest bet, 8% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 22%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 379 Delta Flight history → LGA 07:15 RSW 10:16 8% 3% 1.3% 86%
DL 2310 Delta Flight history → LGA 15:05 RSW 18:32 22% 7% 3.2% 65%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → LGA 06:10 → ORD 07:49UA 2389 1h 37m Chicago ORD 09:26 → RSW 13:28UA 1036 7h 18m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:05 → DTW 07:55DL 1231 2h 28m Detroit DTW 10:23 → RSW 13:26DL 1055 7h 21m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → LGA 09:25 → DTW 11:24DL 1078 3h 04m Detroit DTW 14:28 → RSW 17:22DL 1225 7h 57m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → LGA 08:00 → ATL 10:29DL 364 2h 24m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196 6h 35m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550 2h 02m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153 6h 11m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:00 → MSP 07:53DL 2510 1h 12m Minneapolis MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400 7h 27m 94% 84%
DeltaDetails → LGA 16:00 → ATL 19:07DL 969 3h 33m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217 8h 23m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → LGA 09:00 → ATL 11:32DL 992 3h 27m Atlanta ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379 7h 44m 99% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON