tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3997 Southwest LIT 10:02 LAS 11:24 5% 1% 0.4% no record
WN 598 Southwest LIT 10:10 LAS 11:32 5% 1% 0.4% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Las Vegas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Little Rock). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LIT 05:25 → ATL 07:59DL 1565 2h 04m Atlanta ATL 10:03 → LAS 11:22DL 748 7h 57m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → LIT 06:47 → ATL 09:25DL 1396 3h 50m Atlanta ATL 13:15 → LAS 14:18DL 549 9h 31m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → LIT 09:27 → ATL 12:05DL 3033 3h 49m Atlanta ATL 15:54 → LAS 17:19DL 659 9h 52m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → LIT 07:25 → ORD 09:25UA 4528 · flown by GoJet 1h 48m Chicago ORD 11:13 → LAS 13:18UA 1803 7h 53m 96% 87%
DeltaDetails → LIT 11:50 → ATL 14:28DL 3040 2h 12m Atlanta ATL 16:40 → LAS 17:52DL 711 8h 02m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → LIT 11:57 → IAH 13:50UA 4830 · flown by CommuteAir 3h 09m Houston IAH 16:59 → LAS 18:40UA 2190 8h 43m 98% 85%
UnitedDetails → LIT 11:14 → ORD 13:15UA 4410 · flown by GoJet 2h 39m Chicago ORD 15:54 → LAS 17:57UA 1875 8h 43m 97% 85%
AmericanDetails → LIT 05:38 → DFW 07:16AA 4049 · flown by Envoy 1h 09m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:25 → LAS 09:16AA 1584 5h 38m 98% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON