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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 675 Delta Flight history → MCI 09:40 BOS 13:44 6% 2% 0.6% 86%
DL 314 Delta Flight history → MCI 19:45 BOS 23:55 9% 6% 0.6% 64%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → MCI 05:39 → ATL 08:43DL 1204 1h 22m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → BOS 12:45DL 855 6h 06m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635 2h 11m Minneapolis MSP 10:05 → BOS 13:51DL 2655 6h 28m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MCI 07:00 → ATL 10:03DL 1212 2h 14m Atlanta ATL 12:17 → BOS 14:51DL 1293 6h 51m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MCI 16:04 → MSP 17:40DL 1613 2h 29m Minneapolis MSP 20:09 → BOS 23:55DL 2614 6h 51m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:00 → LGA 09:50DL 370 2h 10m New York LGA 12:00 → BOS 13:21DL 5761 · flown by Republic 6h 21m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → MCI 08:00 → ATL 11:01DL 3110 2h 57m Atlanta ATL 13:58 → BOS 16:44DL 726 7h 44m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MCI 15:38 → ATL 18:48DL 1443 2h 02m Atlanta ATL 20:50 → BOS 23:36DL 300 6h 58m 98% 89%
AmericanDetails → MCI 06:31 → CLT 10:00AA 1297 2h 16m Charlotte CLT 12:16 → BOS 14:33AA 1140 7h 02m 99% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON