tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:39, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MCI 05:39 → ATL 08:43DL 1204 2h 42m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 6h 41m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:25 → DTW 09:23DL 1256 3h 07m Detroit DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294 8h 09m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → MCI 07:00 → ATL 10:03DL 1212 2h 28m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 6h 27m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635 56m Minneapolis MSP 08:50 → FLL 13:25DL 673 6h 02m 96% 89%
UnitedDetails → MCI 06:16 → IAH 08:25UA 740 1h 53m Houston IAH 10:18 → FLL 14:10UA 2670 6h 54m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → MCI 14:10 → DTW 17:07DL 2741 3h 37m Detroit DTW 20:44 → FLL 23:42DL 2296 8h 32m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → MCI 07:53 → ORD 09:45UA 1491 1h 14m Chicago ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279 6h 20m 97% 85%
UnitedDetails → MCI 06:00 → DEN 06:56UA 355 2h 54m Denver DEN 09:50 → FLL 15:54UA 1214 8h 54m 98% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON