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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 2605 at 15:09, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 2605 Southwest MCI 15:09 MKE 16:43 7% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → MCI 05:39 → ATL 08:43DL 1204 2h 08m Atlanta ATL 10:51 → MKE 11:53DL 1151 6h 14m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635 2h 11m Minneapolis MSP 10:05 → MKE 11:17DL 561 4h 54m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → MCI 07:00 → ATL 10:03DL 1212 2h 50m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → MKE 13:50DL 1246 6h 50m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → MCI 09:13 → MSP 10:50DL 4867 · flown by Endeavor 3h 04m Minneapolis MSP 13:54 → MKE 15:09DL 2006 5h 56m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → MCI 10:43 → ATL 13:47DL 2471 1h 42m Atlanta ATL 15:29 → MKE 16:31DL 1206 5h 48m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:00 → LGA 09:50DL 370 1h 21m New York LGA 11:11 → MKE 12:35DL 5613 · flown by Republic 6h 35m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → MCI 17:40 → ATL 20:54DL 1660 1h 58m Atlanta ATL 22:52 → MKE 23:56DL 1268 6h 16m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → MCI 13:18 → ATL 16:26DL 2747 3h 15m Atlanta ATL 19:41 → MKE 20:41DL 2388 7h 23m 99% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON