Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 2314 at 17:06, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 2314 Southwest	MCI 17:06	SAT 19:08	12%	4%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	MCI 06:00 → DEN 06:56UA 355	2h 39m Denver	DEN 09:35 → SAT 12:43UA 2625	6h 43m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	MCI 07:05 → SLC 08:41DL 2897	1h 09m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:50 → SAT 13:36DL 3123	6h 31m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	MCI 07:00 → ATL 10:03DL 1212	2h 12m Atlanta	ATL 12:15 → SAT 13:38DL 1408	6h 38m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635	1h 06m Minneapolis	MSP 09:00 → SAT 11:49DL 2667	5h 26m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	MCI 08:00 → ATL 11:01DL 3110	2h 44m Atlanta	ATL 13:45 → SAT 15:10DL 2009	7h 10m	99%	86%
United Details →	MCI 13:40 → DEN 14:35UA 708	3h 04m Denver	DEN 17:39 → SAT 20:54UA 2819	7h 14m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	MCI 10:37 → MSP 12:10DL 3867 · flown by SkyWest	2h 10m Minneapolis	MSP 14:20 → SAT 17:11DL 2580	6h 34m	97%	85%
American Details →	MCI 05:31 → DFW 07:23AA 1098	3h 24m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:47 → SAT 12:14AA 413	6h 43m	99%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON