Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: WN 2319 at 09:41 is the safest bet, 8% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 25%.

Nonstops that day


WN 2319 Southwest	MCO 09:41	ALB 12:28	8%	2%	0.8%	no record
B6 2919 JetBlue Flight history →	MCO 16:56	ALB 19:57	25%	10%	2.1%	65%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MCO 09:02 → DTW 11:45DL 2845	3h 02m Detroit	DTW 14:47 → ALB 16:32DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest	7h 30m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	MCO 05:30 → ATL 07:03DL 1548	2h 00m Atlanta	ATL 09:03 → ALB 11:22DL 1137	5h 52m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MCO 06:05 → DTW 08:54DL 1201	1h 47m Detroit	DTW 10:41 → ALB 12:27DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest	6h 22m	99%	88%
American Details →	MCO 07:01 → CLT 08:52AA 1647	1h 31m Charlotte	CLT 10:23 → ALB 12:25AA 710	5h 24m	98%	88%
American Details →	MCO 09:01 → CLT 10:54AA 609	3h 21m Charlotte	CLT 14:15 → ALB 16:31AA 1075	7h 30m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	MCO 10:05 → ATL 11:41DL 2204	3h 26m Atlanta	ATL 15:07 → ALB 17:30DL 1241	7h 25m	98%	86%
American Details →	MCO 07:28 → PHL 10:05AA 1228	3h 00m Philadelphia	PHL 13:05 → ALB 14:29AA 6028 · flown by Piedmont	7h 03m	100%	86%
United Details →	MCO 09:40 → ORD 11:48UA 2683	3h 05m Chicago	ORD 14:53 → ALB 18:00UA 1634	8h 20m	100%	85%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MCO 17:51 → DTW 20:54DL 337	51m Detroit	DTW 21:45 → ALB 23:21DL 2660	5h 30m	64%	56%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON