tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4787 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record MDT 06:15 DTW 07:52 4% 4% 1.8% 96%
DL 4891 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record MDT 17:34 DTW 19:14 44% 19% 1.8% 56%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MDT 06:04 → ATL 08:02DL 1255 2h 58m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240 6h 52m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MDT 11:41 → ATL 13:42DL 1248 3h 29m Atlanta ATL 17:11 → DTW 19:14DL 2067 7h 33m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → MDT 18:22 → ATL 20:35DL 2857 2h 24m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → DTW 00:59 +1DL 2940 6h 37m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → MDT 06:30 → ORD 07:42UA 2684 3h 08m Chicago ORD 10:50 → DTW 13:27UA 5756 · flown by SkyWest 6h 57m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → MDT 10:40 → ORD 11:56UA 4185 · flown by GoJet 3h 37m Chicago ORD 15:33 → DTW 17:56UA 2632 7h 16m 100% 87%
AmericanDetails → MDT 08:24 → CLT 10:08AA 5638 · flown by PSA 2h 16m Charlotte CLT 12:24 → DTW 14:15AA 1683 5h 51m 97% 87%
AmericanDetails → MDT 05:00 → CLT 06:44AA 6100 · flown by Piedmont 1h 41m Charlotte CLT 08:25 → DTW 10:13AA 2582 5h 13m 94% 85%
AmericanDetails → MDT 10:40 → CLT 12:25AA 5786 · flown by Piedmont 3h 16m Charlotte CLT 15:41 → DTW 17:27AA 1134 6h 47m 100% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MDT 19:38 → PHL 20:39AA 5965 · flown by Piedmont 1h 15m Philadelphia PHL 21:54 → DTW 23:36AA 5418 · flown by PSA 3h 58m 73% 61%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON