tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 4934 Southwest MDW 10:30 MKE 11:24 6% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 104 Southwest MDW 20:32 MKE 21:19 15% 4% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MDW 06:00 → ATL 08:57DL 1285 1h 54m Atlanta ATL 10:51 → MKE 11:53DL 1151 5h 53m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → MDW 09:54 → MSP 11:35DL 5469 · flown by Endeavor 2h 19m Minneapolis MSP 13:54 → MKE 15:09DL 2006 5h 15m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → MDW 17:10 → ATL 20:22DL 1728 2h 30m Atlanta ATL 22:52 → MKE 23:56DL 1268 6h 46m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MDW 11:05 → ATL 14:01DL 1063 1h 28m Atlanta ATL 15:29 → MKE 16:31DL 1206 5h 26m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → MDW 13:26 → DTW 15:44DL 4688 · flown by Endeavor 1h 57m Detroit DTW 17:41 → MKE 18:00DL 3675 · flown by SkyWest 4h 34m 89% 75%
DeltaDetails → MDW 09:17 → DTW 11:35DL 4674 · flown by Endeavor 50m Detroit DTW 12:25 → MKE 12:42DL 5476 · flown by Endeavor 3h 27m 82% 52%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON