tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 559 Southwest MDW 10:43 SAT 13:13 9% 2% 0.5% no record
WN 2819 Southwest MDW 20:29 SAT 23:06 16% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MDW 06:00 → ATL 08:57DL 1285 3h 18m Atlanta ATL 12:15 → SAT 13:38DL 1408 7h 38m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → MDW 09:54 → MSP 11:35DL 5469 · flown by Endeavor 2h 45m Minneapolis MSP 14:20 → SAT 17:11DL 2580 7h 17m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → MDW 09:17 → DTW 11:35DL 4674 · flown by Endeavor 2h 06m Detroit DTW 13:41 → SAT 15:51DL 2458 6h 34m 96% 86%
DeltaDetails → MDW 11:05 → ATL 14:01DL 1063 1h 57m Atlanta ATL 15:58 → SAT 17:29DL 1465 6h 24m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → MDW 12:41 → ATL 15:43DL 2417 1h 28m Atlanta ATL 17:11 → SAT 18:36DL 2893 5h 55m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → MDW 17:10 → ATL 20:22DL 1728 2h 32m Atlanta ATL 22:54 → SAT 00:20 +1DL 1508 7h 10m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → MDW 13:49 → MSP 15:33DL 4820 · flown by Endeavor 3h 02m Minneapolis MSP 18:35 → SAT 21:26DL 2773 7h 37m 91% 76%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON