Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 14–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 2948 American Flight history →	MIA 02:09	CHS 03:49	14%	5%	1.0%	59%
AA 2152 American	MIA 15:04	CHS 16:52	18%	13%	1.2%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107	6h 00m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	MIA 07:10 → ATL 09:10DL 1211	3h 21m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:42DL 2179	6h 32m	99%	91%
American Details →	MIA 06:26 → CLT 08:37AA 3004	3h 52m Charlotte	CLT 12:29 → CHS 13:47AA 5222 · flown by PSA	7h 21m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	MIA 12:05 → ATL 14:05DL 1510	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 17:44 → CHS 18:59DL 3179	6h 54m	99%	88%
United Details →	MIA 07:07 → EWR 10:11UA 1864	1h 59m Newark	EWR 12:10 → CHS 14:16UA 1760	7h 09m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	MIA 18:00 → ATL 20:14DL 1386	2h 56m Atlanta	ATL 23:10 → CHS 00:26 +1DL 2850	6h 26m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	MIA 14:09 → ATL 16:13DL 1332	3h 20m Atlanta	ATL 19:33 → CHS 20:49DL 2493	6h 40m	97%	86%
American Details →	MIA 06:45 → PHL 09:38AA 2129	52m Philadelphia	PHL 10:30 → CHS 12:29AA 2447	5h 44m	94%	85%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MIA 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1323	46m Atlanta	ATL 19:33 → CHS 20:49DL 2493	4h 03m	70%	61%
American Details →	MIA 18:44 → ORD 21:05AA 2194	57m Chicago	ORD 22:02 → CHS 01:10 +1AA 823	6h 26m	72%	60%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON