tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, AA 363 at 20:45, with a 22% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AA 363 American Flight history → MIA 20:45 CLE 23:48 22% 9% 0.9% 67%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → MIA 08:48 → IAH 10:42UA 2417 3h 53m Houston IAH 14:35 → CLE 18:30UA 1934 9h 42m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249 1h 42m Atlanta ATL 09:43 → CLE 11:32DL 2978 5h 32m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → MIA 07:10 → ATL 09:10DL 1211 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 11:50 → CLE 13:32DL 775 6h 22m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MIA 08:20 → ATL 10:20DL 1261 3h 16m Atlanta ATL 13:36 → CLE 15:20DL 2545 7h 00m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → MIA 06:15 → CLT 08:26AA 3004 2h 29m Charlotte CLT 10:55 → CLE 12:35AA 848 6h 20m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → MIA 12:05 → ATL 14:05DL 1510 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 16:51 → CLE 18:41DL 1350 6h 36m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → MIA 12:59 → ATL 14:57DL 2836 3h 52m Atlanta ATL 18:49 → CLE 20:41DL 2150 7h 42m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → MIA 11:26 → EWR 14:31UA 2433 1h 55m Newark EWR 16:26 → CLE 18:12UA 2172 6h 46m 100% 85%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MIA 15:30 → DFW 17:39AA 1824 55m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:34 → CLE 22:17AA 1484 6h 47m 74% 57%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON