Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 2:14 am at Miami)

Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, AA 3754 at 20:40, with a 22% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


AA 3754 American flown by Envoy Flight history →	MIA 20:40	GSO 22:57	22%	6%	1.2%	80%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greensboro on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MIA 08:20 → ATL 10:20DL 1261	3h 55m Atlanta	ATL 14:15 → GSO 15:30DL 2539	7h 10m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249	1h 45m Atlanta	ATL 09:46 → GSO 11:04DL 3052	5h 04m	97%	90%
American Details →	MIA 05:25 → DFW 07:40AA 1226	1h 48m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:28 → GSO 13:06AA 3886 · flown by Envoy	7h 41m	96%	88%
Delta Details →	MIA 07:10 → ATL 09:10DL 1211	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 12:49 → GSO 14:04DL 3060	6h 54m	99%	86%
United Details →	MIA 11:24 → EWR 14:24UA 2433	1h 52m Newark	EWR 16:16 → GSO 18:04UA 3576 · flown by Republic	6h 40m	96%	84%
Delta Details →	MIA 16:40 → ATL 18:40DL 1323	4h 00m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → GSO 23:59DL 3005	7h 19m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	MIA 10:40 → ATL 12:48DL 2836	3h 42m Atlanta	ATL 16:30 → GSO 17:50DL 3050	7h 10m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	MIA 11:25 → LGA 14:16DL 2347	2h 43m New York	LGA 16:59 → GSO 18:40DL 5107 · flown by Endeavor	7h 15m	98%	82%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	MIA 15:44 → ORD 18:17AA 3056	1h 07m Chicago	ORD 19:24 → GSO 22:20AA 3648 · flown by Envoy	6h 36m	73%	62%
Delta Details →	MIA 16:40 → ATL 18:40DL 1323	1h 06m Atlanta	ATL 19:46 → GSO 21:05DL 1617	4h 25m	71%	59%
American Details →	MIA 17:22 → LGA 20:19AA 2271	51m New York	LGA 21:10 → GSO 23:13AA 4577 · flown by Republic	5h 51m	42%	35%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON