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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Oklahoma City on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 1 h behind Miami). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249 3h 04m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → OKC 12:12DL 2020 7h 12m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MIA 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1323 3h 57m Atlanta ATL 22:44 → OKC 23:52DL 2423 8h 06m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → MIA 08:48 → IAH 10:42UA 2417 1h 28m Houston IAH 12:10 → OKC 13:50UA 6180 · flown by Mesa 6h 02m 96% 87%
UnitedDetails → MIA 07:37 → DEN 10:00UA 2045 3h 23m Denver DEN 13:23 → OKC 16:06UA 1656 9h 29m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → MIA 15:44 → DEN 18:23UA 2852 2h 21m Denver DEN 20:44 → OKC 23:26UA 4727 · flown by SkyWest 8h 42m 97% 86%
UnitedDetails → MIA 12:29 → IAH 14:23UA 470 3h 49m Houston IAH 18:12 → OKC 19:53UA 5278 · flown by SkyWest 8h 24m 98% 85%
AmericanDetails → MIA 07:00 → DFW 09:19AA 2575 1h 09m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:28 → OKC 11:42AA 3099 5h 42m 94% 81%
AmericanDetails → MIA 09:00 → DFW 11:12AA 1227 2h 45m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:57 → OKC 15:08AA 3164 7h 08m 98% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON