tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 25%, against 11% on a calm day. Safest: AA 3257 at 22:23, 25%.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AA 3257 American MIA 22:23 SAV 23:59 25% 6% 1.3% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MIA 08:20 → ATL 10:20DL 1261 3h 12m Atlanta ATL 13:32 → SAV 14:38DL 1067 6h 18m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MIA 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1323 3h 59m Atlanta ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860 7h 07m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → MIA 09:00 → PHL 11:55AA 551 1h 48m Philadelphia PHL 13:43 → SAV 15:45AA 2708 6h 45m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249 1h 22m Atlanta ATL 09:23 → SAV 10:27DL 3054 4h 27m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → MIA 12:05 → ATL 14:05DL 1510 3h 45m Atlanta ATL 17:50 → SAV 18:59DL 527 6h 54m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → MIA 14:09 → ATL 16:13DL 1332 3h 53m Atlanta ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425 7h 08m 97% 86%
UnitedDetails → MIA 07:07 → EWR 10:11UA 1864 1h 35m Newark EWR 11:46 → SAV 13:59UA 1636 6h 52m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → MIA 12:59 → ATL 14:57DL 2836 1h 53m Atlanta ATL 16:50 → SAV 18:02DL 3112 5h 03m 96% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MIA 16:45 → DFW 18:56AA 3259 57m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:53 → SAV 23:32AA 1092 6h 47m 69% 55%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON