tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–6% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1172 Southwest MKE 07:38 BNA 09:16 3% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 1644 Southwest MKE 14:01 BNA 15:36 6% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MKE 05:45 → ATL 08:46DL 1221 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 5h 45m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → MKE 15:59 → MSP 17:21DL 2006 2h 59m Minneapolis MSP 20:20 → BNA 22:26DL 1144 6h 27m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MKE 06:50 → ATL 09:57DL 1236 3h 57m Atlanta ATL 13:54 → BNA 14:03DL 3159 7h 13m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MKE 16:47 → DTW 18:59DL 1343 2h 36m Detroit DTW 21:35 → BNA 22:15DL 2126 5h 28m 98% 89%
UnitedDetails → MKE 05:00 → ORD 05:59UA 5799 · flown by SkyWest 2h 36m Chicago ORD 08:35 → BNA 10:05UA 1674 5h 05m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → MKE 07:01 → CLT 10:07AA 2866 3h 17m Charlotte CLT 13:24 → BNA 14:03AA 2409 7h 02m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MKE 10:11 → ATL 13:14DL 2999 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 15:13 → BNA 15:26DL 3142 5h 15m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MKE 12:07 → MSP 13:26DL 561 2h 03m Minneapolis MSP 15:29 → BNA 17:35DL 2612 5h 28m 97% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON