tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2716 at 07:00, with a 4% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2716 Delta Flight history → MKE 07:00 SLC 09:25 4% 2% 0.6% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Milwaukee). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → MKE 14:39 → PHX 16:26AA 899 3h 31m Phoenix PHX 19:57 → SLC 22:39AA 4968 · flown by SkyWest 9h 00m 100% 92%
UnitedDetails → MKE 05:00 → ORD 05:59UA 5799 · flown by SkyWest 2h 56m Chicago ORD 08:55 → SLC 11:39UA 1972 7h 39m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → MKE 05:45 → ATL 08:46DL 1221 1h 24m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387 7h 25m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → MKE 07:11 → DTW 09:30DL 3757 · flown by SkyWest 2h 50m Detroit DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935 8h 00m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → MKE 06:50 → ATL 09:57DL 1236 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663 8h 00m 98% 89%
AmericanDetails → MKE 04:58 → ORD 05:58AA 6261 · flown by SkyWest 2h 25m Chicago ORD 08:23 → SLC 11:15AA 1991 7h 17m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → MKE 10:11 → ATL 13:14DL 2999 2h 06m Atlanta ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526 8h 07m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → MKE 12:58 → ATL 16:07DL 1151 1h 53m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → SLC 20:02DL 653 8h 04m 100% 88%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → MKE 18:22 → ORD 19:17UA 5420 · flown by SkyWest 53m Chicago ORD 20:10 → SLC 22:48UA 1710 5h 26m 74% 61%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON