tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
MQ 3677 Envoy MSO 13:23 DFW 17:43 11% 3% 0.6% no record
MQ 3356 Envoy MSO 13:05 DFW 17:23 11% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h ahead of Missoula). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → MSO 06:05 → DEN 08:11UA 1026 1h 33m Denver DEN 09:44 → DFW 12:54UA 1350 5h 49m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → MSO 05:35 → SLC 07:06DL 2795 2h 44m Salt Lake City SLC 09:50 → DFW 13:30DL 2800 6h 55m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → MSO 10:36 → DEN 12:48UA 5484 · flown by SkyWest 3h 04m Denver DEN 15:52 → DFW 19:03UA 2230 7h 27m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → MSO 08:33 → MSP 12:11DL 2907 2h 36m Minneapolis MSP 14:47 → DFW 17:16DL 2971 7h 43m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → MSO 13:15 → SLC 14:57DL 4112 · flown by SkyWest 2h 43m Salt Lake City SLC 17:40 → DFW 21:23DL 2796 7h 08m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → MSO 12:34 → ORD 17:05UA 636 2h 45m Chicago ORD 19:50 → DFW 22:36UA 1673 9h 02m 94% 81%
UnitedDetails → MSO 14:25 → DEN 16:30UA 1436 2h 23m Denver DEN 18:53 → DFW 21:59UA 1565 6h 34m 96% 81%
AlaskaDetails → MSO 15:48 → SEA 16:18AS 660 2h 02m Seattle SEA 18:20 → DFW 00:11 +1AS 542 7h 23m 98% 77%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON