Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 730 at 18:11, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 730 Delta Flight history →	MSP 18:11	ABQ 19:55	8%	2%	0.5%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651	3h 06m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:25 → ABQ 19:12DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest	7h 43m	100%	94%
United Details →	MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041	1h 27m Denver	DEN 08:20 → ABQ 09:51UA 1733	5h 06m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	MSP 11:30 → LAX 13:23DL 2119	1h 37m Los Angeles	LAX 15:00 → ABQ 18:07DL 4091 · flown by SkyWest	7h 37m	98%	89%
United Details →	MSP 09:05 → DEN 10:21UA 1891	3h 36m Denver	DEN 13:57 → ABQ 15:26UA 1594	7h 21m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	2h 29m Atlanta	ATL 14:23 → ABQ 15:31DL 1109	8h 05m	100%	88%
American Details →	MSP 06:06 → DFW 08:51AA 1395	1h 56m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:47 → ABQ 11:41AA 3586 · flown by Envoy	6h 35m	98%	87%
United Details →	MSP 07:35 → IAH 10:30UA 2460	1h 34m Houston	IAH 12:04 → ABQ 13:27UA 6345 · flown by Mesa	6h 52m	97%	84%
American Details →	MSP 15:12 → PHX 17:28AA 408	2h 53m Phoenix	PHX 20:21 → ABQ 22:49AA 3239	8h 37m	100%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON