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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 12:29, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Colorado Springs on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651 1h 32m Salt Lake City SLC 15:51 → COS 17:35DL 4449 · flown by SkyWest 6h 06m 97% 91%
UnitedDetails → MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307 1h 22m Chicago ORD 09:06 → COS 11:09UA 1082 6h 09m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041 2h 52m Denver DEN 09:45 → COS 10:46UA 5306 · flown by SkyWest 6h 01m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → MSP 13:36 → DEN 14:48UA 1305 2h 07m Denver DEN 16:55 → COS 17:52UA 5308 · flown by SkyWest 5h 16m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → MSP 09:05 → DEN 10:21UA 1891 3h 09m Denver DEN 13:30 → COS 14:27UA 4775 · flown by SkyWest 6h 22m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → MSP 06:06 → DFW 08:50AA 1395 2h 38m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:28 → COS 12:37AA 6390 · flown by SkyWest 7h 31m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039 58m Atlanta ATL 11:30 → COS 12:32DL 2427 6h 32m 93% 82%
DeltaDetails → MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607 52m Salt Lake City SLC 20:59 → COS 22:41DL 3788 · flown by SkyWest 5h 28m 86% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON